Innovation science and technologiy 2-jild 4-son (2026)
ADVANCED APPROACHES TO THE ASSESSMENT AND MANAGEMENT OF CURRENT FINANCIAL STABILITY IN JOINT-STOCK COMPANIES USING CFAR (CASH FLOW AT RISK) AND 3Σ STATISTICAL RISK MODELS
Kurbonov, Xayrilla
Annotatsiya
This scientific article systematizes the theoretical, methodological, and empirical foundations of Cash Flow atRisk (CFaR) and the 3σ (three-sigma) statistical risk models as modern instruments for assessing and managing the shorttermfinancial stability of joint-stock companies. The study also interprets their application within the risk managementsystems of joint-stock companies in the Republic. It is demonstrated that evaluating current financial stability solely throughtraditional static financial ratios is insufficient. Within the framework of the CFaR model for cash flow management underrisk conditions and the concept of risk-adjusted liquidity, the necessity of applying dynamic and probabilistic approachesis theoretically substantiated
CFaR, Cash Flow at Risk, 3σ model, financial stability, liquidity risks, cash flows, risk management, joint-stock companies, Monte Carlo, stress testing
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