Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар Том 2 № 3 (2025) · с. 96-100

FORECAST ANALYSIS OF BANK RESOURCES AND DEPOSIT DYNAMICS IN UZBEKISTAN: THE CASE OF UZPROMSTROYBANK

Sarsenbayev, Bakhitzhan, Allambergenova, Nargiza, Kengesov, Diyorbek, Сарсенбаев, Бахитжан, Алламбергенова, Наргиза, Кенгесов, Диёрбек, Sarsenbayev, Baxitjan, Allambergenova, Nargiza, Kengesov, Diyorbek

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Аннотация

This study analyses historical data (2000–2024) to forecast Uzpromstroybank’s deposit base and total resource trends using simple OLS regression models. A linear time-trend model is estimated for both series to capture long-run growth. The regression results show strong, significant upward trends (high R², statistically significant coefficients) for deposits and resources, indicating robust growth. Forecasts generated by extrapolating these trends suggest continued expansion of the bank’s deposits and resources in the short term. The findings are relevant for bank management and policymakers, as they highlight the trajectory of funding sources in Uzbekistan’s banking sector. Limitations include the simplicity of the linear model and potential structural changes, nonetheless, the results provide a baseline projection and underline the importance of improving deposit mobilization and financial sector reforms.

UzbekistanUzpromstroybankbanking sectordeposit dynamicsforecastingtime seriesordinary least squares (OLS)financial resourcestrend analysisУзбекистан

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APA 7 
Sarsenbayev, Bakhitzhan, Allambergenova, Nargiza, Kengesov, Diyorbek, Сарсенбаев, Бахитжан, Алламбергенова, Наргиза, Кенгесов, Диёрбек, Sarsenbayev, Baxitjan, Allambergenova, Nargiza & Kengesov, Diyorbek (2025). FORECAST ANALYSIS OF BANK RESOURCES AND DEPOSIT DYNAMICS IN  UZBEKISTAN: THE CASE OF UZPROMSTROYBANK. Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар, 2(3), 96-100.
GOST R 7.0.5 
Sarsenbayev, Bakhitzhan, Allambergenova, Nargiza, Kengesov, Diyorbek, Сарсенбаев, Бахитжан, Алламбергенова, Наргиза, Кенгесов, Диёрбек, Sarsenbayev, Baxitjan, Allambergenova, Nargiza, Kengesov, Diyorbek FORECAST ANALYSIS OF BANK RESOURCES AND DEPOSIT DYNAMICS IN  UZBEKISTAN: THE CASE OF UZPROMSTROYBANK // Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар. 2025. Т. 2. № 3. С. 96-100.
BibTeX 
@article{bakhitzhan2025,
  author  = {Sarsenbayev, Bakhitzhan and Allambergenova, Nargiza and Kengesov, Diyorbek and Сарсенбаев, Бахитжан and Алламбергенова, Наргиза and Кенгесов, Диёрбек and Sarsenbayev, Baxitjan and Allambergenova, Nargiza and Kengesov, Diyorbek},
  title   = {FORECAST ANALYSIS OF BANK RESOURCES AND DEPOSIT DYNAMICS IN  UZBEKISTAN: THE CASE OF UZPROMSTROYBANK},
  journal = {Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар},
  year    = {2025},
  volume  = {2},
  number  = {3},
  pages   = {96-100}
}
RIS 
TY  - JOUR
AU  - Sarsenbayev, Bakhitzhan
AU  - Allambergenova, Nargiza
AU  - Kengesov, Diyorbek
AU  - Сарсенбаев, Бахитжан
AU  - Алламбергенова, Наргиза
AU  - Кенгесов, Диёрбек
AU  - Sarsenbayev, Baxitjan
AU  - Allambergenova, Nargiza
AU  - Kengesov, Diyorbek
TI  - FORECAST ANALYSIS OF BANK RESOURCES AND DEPOSIT DYNAMICS IN  UZBEKISTAN: THE CASE OF UZPROMSTROYBANK
JO  - Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар
PY  - 2025
VL  - 2
IS  - 3
SP  - 96
EP  - 100
ER  -