Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар 3-tom 3-san (2026) · 726-736-betler

ECONOMETRIC MODEL FOR DETERMINING REGIONAL TAX POTENTIAL

Jurayev, Khusan, Джураев, Хусан, Jurayev, Xusan

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Annotaciya

This article develops an econometric model for determining regional tax potential. Based on statistical data for the regions of Uzbekistan for 2016–2024, a multifactor regression model was built, in which the impact of economic (GDP, investments), demographic (population, urbanization), financial and institutional factors on tax revenues was quantitatively assessed. Multicollinearity was optimized using correlation analysis and the VIF indicator, and the model reliability was confirmed at the level of R²=0.87. A forecast of regional tax revenues for 2025–2027 is presented based on three scenarios - base, optimistic and pessimistic. The results provide a practical basis for the formation of regional fiscal policy and the effective allocation of inter-budget resources

regional tax capacityeconometric modelmultivariate regressioncorrelation analysisscenario forecastinterregional differencesurbanizationinstitutional efficiencybudget planningfiscal policy

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Dáyeksóz alıw

APA 7 
Jurayev, Khusan, Джураев, Хусан & Jurayev, Xusan (2026). ECONOMETRIC MODEL FOR DETERMINING REGIONAL TAX POTENTIAL. Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар, 3(3), 726-736.
GOST R 7.0.5 
Jurayev, Khusan, Джураев, Хусан, Jurayev, Xusan ECONOMETRIC MODEL FOR DETERMINING REGIONAL TAX POTENTIAL // Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар. 2026. Т. 3. № 3. С. 726-736.
BibTeX 
@article{khusan2026,
  author  = {Jurayev, Khusan and Джураев, Хусан and Jurayev, Xusan},
  title   = {ECONOMETRIC MODEL FOR DETERMINING REGIONAL TAX POTENTIAL},
  journal = {Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар},
  year    = {2026},
  volume  = {3},
  number  = {3},
  pages   = {726-736}
}
RIS 
TY  - JOUR
AU  - Jurayev, Khusan
AU  - Джураев, Хусан
AU  - Jurayev, Xusan
TI  - ECONOMETRIC MODEL FOR DETERMINING REGIONAL TAX POTENTIAL
JO  - Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар
PY  - 2026
VL  - 3
IS  - 3
SP  - 726
EP  - 736
ER  -